Times of Better Bharat

Bharat, in perspective — every morning · est. 2026
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TIMES OF BETTER BHARAT, SUNDAY, 25 OCTOBER 2026 — page 1 of 5SUNDAY 25 OCTOBER 2026DIGITAL DAILY EDITIONTIMES OF BETTER BHARATBHARAT, IN PERSPECTIVE — EVERY MORNINGNO. 2EST. 2026BY THE NUMBERSAS THEY READ THIS MORNINGGDP GROWTH7.6%2025INCOME PER HEAD$2,7602025GOVERNMENT DEBT83.4%2026INFLATION2.4%2025UNEMPLOYMENT4.2%2025CIVILISATIONThe Konkan coastrewrites its own storyA genetic study of Konkani communities has revised an assumed migrationstory — the right response is neither credulity nor defensiveness, but method.his paper reports today that a genet-ic study of Konkani communitieshas rewritten the migration story(https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/telangana/genetic-study-of-konkani-communities-rewrites-migration-story/article71617057.ece).The substance of the finding belongs to theresearchers and their reviewers: thesample, the models, the confidence inter-vals are theirs to publish and defend.What belongs to the rest of us is the ques-tion the headline raises — how a maturecivilisation should handle being told thata piece of its remembered past was, on theevidence, rather different.A ledger of arrivals, andwhy it was always suspectFor a century and more, Indian prehistorywas narrated in the colonial manner as aledger of arrivals — this group came, dis-placed that one, and the present was readoff the sequence. That was never a neutralchronology; it was a story about who be-longed and who did not, dressed as schol-arship. The case for re-reading it on Indianevidence, by Indian and international re-searchers together, does not require thatevery old conclusion be wrong. It requiresonly that each be tested. A headline thatsays a migration story has been rewrittenis, in that light, not a disturbance. It is themethod working.Genes describe mixture, not rankThe discipline matters here. Genetic stud-ies of populations measure admixture, thesharing of lineages, the drift of smallgroups over long stretches of time. Theyalmost never deliver a single origin, andany community that has lived and tradedalong a coast for centuries will show ex-actly the layered ancestry that such a lifeproduces. That is not a scandal; it is the or-dinary condition of our species. The readeris invited to test this: ask of any such paperwhat would have counted as a falsifyingresult, and whether the authors say soplainly. If they do, the work deserves ourattention rather than our alarm.What such work must never be asked todo is certify belonging. The worst use ofpopulation genetics is to arrange Indiansin a queue — first-comer, late arrival —as though ancestry conferred a strongerclaim on the Constitution than citizenshipdoes. That is a judgement, and I state it asone: every Indian is a mixture, and a civil-isation that has absorbed waves of peoplefor millennia should find that a descrip-tion of its strength, not an awkward fact tobe managed.The capacity to answerour own questionsThe deeper story is about who does the sci-ence. India now publishes 2,28,174 sci-entific articles a year(https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/IP.JRN.ARTC.SC)with 259.3 researchers per million people(https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SP.POP.SCIE.RD.P6),on research spending of 0.6% of GDP(https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/GB.XPD.RSDV.GD.ZS)— and yet ranks 38th of 139 on the GlobalInnovation Index, over-performing onTContinued on page 2 ›INSIDE TODAYNATION & SECURITYA ceasefire the state cannotaudit is not a ceasefireThe facts as reported are spare. Seventeenmilitants held under the Suspension ofOperations arrangement were arrested inManipur; a mismatch was found in theiridentities;…Page 2 ›SOCIETY & JUSTICEThe body in the police station iswhere the Constitution is testedThe report is short and grim. The family of aDalit youth in Kottayam district has accusedthe Erattupetta police of assaulting him duringquestioning in…Page 2 ›PUBLIC REASONA mob is not a magistrateAccording to NDTV, a Christian woman inWest Bengal has alleged that she was strippedand "purified", and that pressure was placed onher and others…Page 3 ›ECONOMYThe hide is the leastvaluable part of the leatherThe Telangana government will set up aCommon Facility Centre in Gachibowli tosupport design, product development andbranding, and eco-friendly tanneries inChoppadandi mandal of…Page 4 ›WHERE WE STANDIndia first. Nocamp, left or right.Criticism that strengthens the country,never diminishes it — and a citizen'spressure on the problems no party will own.Read our stand ›Times of Better Bharat · timesofbetterbharat.comNo. 2 · SUNDAY 25 OCTOBER 2026PAGE 1 OF 5
TIMES OF BETTER BHARAT, SUNDAY, 25 OCTOBER 2026 — page 2 of 5TIMES OF BETTER BHARATSUNDAY 25 OCTOBER 2026PAGE 2CONTINUED FROM PAGE 1The Konkan coast rewrites its own storyoutputs for its income level(https://www.wipo.int/global_innovation_index/).The lesson of a study like this one is notthat we should wait to be told our own his-tory. It is that archaeogenetics, epigraphy,linguistics and archaeology, read togetheron Indian material, are a national capabil-ity worth funding properly and publishingopenly.Continuity is not a sentiment to be asser-ted; it is a case to be built, and it is strongestwhen it survives being tested. That is whyit is worth defending with method ratherthan with volume.Sources: Genetic study of Konkani communities rewritesmigration story · Scientific and technical journal articles· Researchers in R&D per million people · Research anddevelopment expenditure (% of GDP) · Global InnovationIndex 2025NATION & SECURITYA ceasefire thestate cannot auditis not a ceasefireSeventeen arrests and an identity mismatchin Manipur expose the real weaknessin India's suspension-of-operationsarchitecture: the state has granted restraintwithout retaining the means to verify.A signature is not a registerThe facts as reported are spare. Seventeenmilitants held under the Suspension ofOperations arrangement were arrested inManipur; a mismatch was found in theiridentities; the operation took place at MtSinai Camp in Saimol village, a day afterthree persons from the Meitei communitywere killed in an attack([HT](https://www.hindustantimes.com/india-news/17-kuki-militants-under-soo-deal-arrested-in-manipur-mismatch-found-in-identities-101792848936744.html)).Each clause deserves weight. The middleone should worry the security establish-ment most.What a suspension ofoperations actually isAn SoO is not a courtesy extended toa people. It is an instrument of state-craft: the state suspends active operationsagainst a named group in exchange for afrozen capability and a seat in a politicalprocess. That bargain rests on two ques-tions the state must be able to answer ondemand — who is a signatory, and who isnot. When the answer to the first turnsout to be wrong, the second loses meaning.A camp where occupants carry identitiesthat do not match the record is, function-ally, an unverified armed space.The verification gapis the vulnerabilityRead the sequence coldly. Civilians arekilled. The next day an operation finds sev-enteen people whose particulars do not re-concile. That is not a story about couragein the field; it is a story about accountingat the desk. An arrangement that cannotproduce a verified roll of names, photo-graphs and biometrics for every person itshelters is not a confidence-building meas-ure — it is an insurance policy written forthe armed and paid for by the unarmed.The case for such arrangements is not trivi-al, and it should be argued honestly. Afrozen operation can lower the temperat-ure in a district, open political space andpull young men away from the gun; scrap-ping ceasefires wholesale can push themback. That is a real trade-off, and thiscolumn does not pretend otherwise. But anunverified ceasefire transfers risk down-ward — to the farmer in the neighbouringvillage and to the jawan who must choose,in a fraction of a second, between restraintand self-preservation.Deterrence is a single ledgerIndia spends 2.3% of GDP on defence([SIPRI via World Bank,2025](https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/MS.MIL.XPND.GD.ZS)).That buys little if a hill camp can shelterpeople the state cannot name. The 2026Global Peace Index places India 127th of163, down twelve places on the year([IEP](https://www.visionofhumanity.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/Global-Peace-Index-2026-Report.pdf));the 2026 Global Terrorism Index puts it13th of 163, a rank worse than 2025 at ascore of 6.43([IEP](https://www.economicsandpeace.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/Global-Terrorism-Index-2026-Report.pdf)).Political stability and absence of violencesits at −0.61 on the World Bank's scale([WGI,2025](https://www.worldbank.org/en/publication/worldwide-governance-indicators)).Credibility abroad and control at home areone ledger, not two.What the state should insist onThe prescription here is contested, andoffered as a considered view. First, asingle biometrically enumerated cadre re-gister for every signed group, with aggreg-ate numbers published. Second, no-noticejoint inspection of designated camps, withnamed responsibility for whoever shel-ters an unlisted armed person. Third, atime-bound review with a presumptionof sunset rather than automatic renewal.Fourth, criminal liability that attaches toindividuals and to the act — never to acommunity.That last point is the one that must hold.The failures described here are institution-al: a register that was not kept, an inspec-tion that was not made, an accountabilitythat was not enforced. A people is neverthe enemy. A badly audited ceasefire is.Sources: 17 Kuki militants under SoO deal arrested inManipur; mismatch found in identities · Global TerrorismIndex 2026 · Global Peace Index 2026 · Military expenditure(% of GDP), 2025 · Worldwide Governance Indicators, 2025SOCIETY & JUSTICEThe body in the policestation is where theConstitution is testedA custodial-torture complaint from Kottayamis not a local policing matter; it is a testof whether Article 21 means anything to apoor Dalit citizen facing the state alone.The report is short and grim. The family ofa Dalit youth in Kottayam district has ac-cused the Erattupetta police of assaultinghim during questioning in connectionwith a suspected cable theft(https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/kerala/kin-of-dalit-youth-in-keralams-kottayam-accuses-police-of-custodial-torture/article71619945.ece).These are allegations; the officers con-cerned are entitled to deny them, and nohonest commentator should pronounceon their guilt from a newspaper para-graph.But a custodial assault allegation is not anordinary complaint. It is a claim that thestate used a citizen's body as an instrumentof investigation. A claim of that kind mustbe tested in the open, by an authority inde-pendent of the station whose members areaccused.Times of Better Bharat · timesofbetterbharat.comNo. 2 · SUNDAY 25 OCTOBER 2026PAGE 2 OF 5
TIMES OF BETTER BHARAT, SUNDAY, 25 OCTOBER 2026 — page 3 of 5TIMES OF BETTER BHARATSUNDAY 25 OCTOBER 2026PAGE 3Custody is where the burden shiftsArticle 21 promises that no person shallbe deprived of life or personal libertyexcept according to procedure establishedby law. Article 22(2) requires productionbefore a magistrate. The point of bothis simple and old: once a man is insidea lock-up, he cannot summon witnesses,cannot walk to a hospital, cannot provewhat happened to him. The state, whichalone controls the room, must thereforebe able to account for every mark on hisbody — through prompt medical examin-ation, and through a magistrate who asksthe question rather than certifying theanswer.India's prisons show how heavily thisweighs. Some 72.6% of the prison popula-tion is made up of pre-trial detainees(https://www.prisonstudies.org/country/india).The presumption of innocence is hon-oured more eloquently in the Constitutionthan in the corridors where it is supposedto operate.Why the complainant'scaste is not incidentalArticle 17 abolished untouchability; it didnot abolish hierarchy, which now findsquieter rooms to work in. I do not assertthat the Erattupetta police acted out ofcaste animus — I do not know that, andneither does the reader. What I assert isthis: the promise of equal citizenship istested precisely where a poor Dalit familyconfronts the state alone, and the test iswhether its complaint travels further thanthe thana counter. If the inquiry is slow, oris conducted by colleagues of the accused,every such household learns that the law'sprotection thins out at the door.The number behind the anecdoteThe World Justice Project's Rule of LawIndex places India 86th of 143 countrieswith a score of 0.49, down seven places ina year(https://worldjusticeproject.org/rule-of-law-index/downloads/WJPIndex2025.pdf).Such indices are approximations, and gov-ernments dispute their method. But theymeasure one thing accurately enough:whether an ordinary person believes acomplaint against power will go any-where. In the same week, human rightsgroups announced a probe into the shoot-ing of three persons in the Cauvery Wild-life Sanctuary in Karnataka(https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/karnataka/human-rights-groups-to-probe-shooting-of-three-persons-in-cauvery-wildlife-sanctuary/article71620245.ece)— a reminder that questions about the useof state force are not confined to one Stateor one party.What the response must beAn independent magisterial inquiry, not adepartmental one. Injuries documentedon the record without delay. Compensa-tion if the allegation stands, and depart-mental accountability for those respons-ible. A State government occupied withother controversies(https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/kerala/pinarayi-vijayan-steps-up-attack-against-keralam-govt-over-sma-drug-controversy/article71620527.ece)should not treat this as an administrativefootnote; nor should an opposition con-vert a young man's bruises into a sloganand lose interest when the news cycleturns. The same demand for restraint anddue process must be made of every gov-ernment, in every State, by everyone.A republic is not measured by the reach ofits sovereign's power but by the law's reachover that power. The first promise of ourConstitution is that a citizen's body is notthe property of the state. If that promiseis not enforced in a small station in Kot-tayam, it is not enforced anywhere.Sources: Kin of Dalit youth in Keralam's Kottayam accusespolice of custodial torture · Pre-trial detainees as share oftotal prison population (World Prison Brief, 2024) · WJPRule of Law Index 2025 · Human rights groups to probeshooting of three persons in Cauvery Wildlife Sanctuary· Pinarayi Vijayan steps up attack against Keralam govt.over SMA drug controversyPUBLIC REASONA mob is not a magistrateIf a woman in Bengal was stripped and'purified' over her faith, the question is nottheology but whether the police register thecase — and apply the same law they would beexpected to apply to anyone else's complaint.What is actually allegedAccording to NDTV, a Christian womanin West Bengal has alleged that she wasstripped and "purified", and that pressurewas placed on her and others to abandontheir faith. Her complaint states that threefamilies were threatened they would be"burnt alive", and that "They created pres-sure on us to give up our faith in LordJesus Christ." The report attributes the al-legation to her complaint; the organisa-tion she names is named in it, not adjudgedguilty by this column. That distinction isthe whole of due process, and it cuts bothways: an allegation is not a verdict, and itis not nothing either. It is a matter for aninvestigation.Coercion is not creedThe Constitution protects freedom of con-science for every citizen — the right to pro-fess, practise and propagate, and the equalright to decline. Those who preach mustexpect to be argued with; those who arepreached to must be free to walk away.What is described here is neither preach-ing nor argument. To strip a woman,whatever ritual vocabulary is attached tothe act, is an assault on her body and herdignity. To threaten a family with beingburnt alive is criminal intimidation. It ismy judgement — offered as a judgement —that no offended sentiment, and no claimof defending a faith, converts either into areligious act. A faith defended by a threatof arson is not being defended; it is beingdiscredited by the people who claim tospeak for it.The test is even-handednessThe demand that follows is procedural,and it should be put without insinuation.Has a First Information Report been re-gistered? Under which provisions? Howmany persons have been named, and hasanyone been taken into custody? A statethat can move briskly when a loud griev-ance is raised must move at the same speedfor a complainant with no crowd behindher. Article 14 does not promise that every-one will feel equally offended; it promisesthat the law will react equally when of-fence becomes force.The World Justice Project's Rule of LawIndex places India 86th of 143, with a scoreof 0.49 on a 0–1 scale(https://worldjusticeproject.org/rule-of-law-index/downloads/WJPIndex2025.pdf).Rankings are crude instruments, but thething they measure is exactly this: wheth-er a complaint from an obscure villageproduces a case file as reliably as a com-plaint from a connected one.Times of Better Bharat · timesofbetterbharat.comNo. 2 · SUNDAY 25 OCTOBER 2026PAGE 3 OF 5
TIMES OF BETTER BHARAT, SUNDAY, 25 OCTOBER 2026 — page 4 of 5TIMES OF BETTER BHARATSUNDAY 25 OCTOBER 2026PAGE 4Speech for all, or for noneThose who insist on the right to criticiseother faiths must concede the same rightto those who preach a different one — andmust concede, above all, that persuasion isanswered by persuasion, never by a mob.Every Indian's home should be as safe fromthe enforcer as it is from the arsonist. Thatis not a demand on behalf of one com-munity; it is a demand on behalf of everycitizen, of any faith or of none.A crowd with a pair of scissors is not acourt. The law lives in the police station,and it must be made to work there.Sources: Stripped And 'Purified': Bengal Christian WomanAlleges Conversion Threat By Bajrang Dal · WJP Rule ofLaw Index 2025ECONOMYThe hide is theleast valuablepart of the leatherTelangana's plan to pair a design centrein Gachibowli with eco-friendly tanneriesin Karimnagar has the right shape;whether it produces a leather industry ora press release will be decided by effluent,apprenticeship and who owns the brand.The Telangana government will set up aCommon Facility Centre in Gachibowli tosupport design, product development andbranding, and eco-friendly tanneries inChoppadandi mandal of Karimnagar thatare expected to generate 1,000 jobs, the In-dustries Minister said after a review withTGLIPC officials ([TheHindu](https://www.thehindu.com/news/cities/Hyderabad/telangana-government-to-set-up-cfc-in-gachibowli-tanneries-in-karimnagar-to-bolster-leather-industry/article71620193.ece)).On the evidence of the announcementalone, this is the most sensible piece of in-dustrial policy I have read this week —and the most easy to quietly ruin.Where the value actually sitsA hide is a commodity. The margin is in thecut, the finish, the hardware, the lining,the label. A district that sells hides andbuys back bags has donated its labour andkept none of its margin. That is a judge-ment, not a statistic, but it is the judge-ment on which every leather economy thatclimbed — in Italy, in Spain, in East Asia— climbed. The instinct to put a designand branding centre in the same proposalas the tanneries is therefore correct, andrarer than it should be. Most state incent-ive packages fund the shed and the pho-tograph and leave the design to somebodyelse.The hub-and-spoke logic,in the right directionA design studio, a testing laboratory, a fin-ishing plant and a common effluent treat-ment works are exactly the assets a smallunit in Choppadandi cannot finance alone.Put them in the spoke and they lie idle; putthem in the hub at Gachibowli, where thebuyers, the technologists and the exportoffices already are, and the spoke can rentthem by the hour. That is decentralisedgrowth done properly — not the dispersalof everything, but the dispersal of produc-tion while shared capability stays pooled.Three tests, and theyare all unglamorousThe first is effluent. "Eco-friendly" is an ad-jective in the report; the test is a commontreatment plant, a named operator andpublished water readings downstream.Tanning is a dirty trade, and a district thatgets a clean tannery park has gained some-thing far more durable than a factory.The second is what kind of job the prom-ised 1,000 are. India spends 0.6% of GDPon research and development and has259.3 researchers per million people, onthe last available figures ([WorldBank](https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/GB.XPD.RSDV.GD.SZ),[WorldBank](https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SP.POP.SCIE.RD.P6));its Human Capital Index stands at 0.49([WorldBank](https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/HD.HCI.OVRL)).Leather does not need doctorates. It needstechnicians, cutters, finishers and qualityinspectors trained by stipended appren-ticeship alongside formal courses — aworkshop with a wage, not a certificatewith a photograph.The third is ownership of the brand. If thedesign centre's output is a label belongingto a buyer abroad, the value still leaves.The CFC should be judged on how manyunits in the district sell finished goodsunder their own mark within five years.What the rest of thecountry should copyManufacturing is 13.5% of GDP ([WorldBank](https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NV.IND.MANF.ZS))and India ranks 38th of 139 on the GlobalInnovation Index while ranking 32nd oninnovation outputs([WIPO](https://www.wipo.int/global_innovation_index/))— we convert modest inputs into resultswith unusual frugality. The lesson is not toconcentrate that frugality in five metrosalready short of water and housing, but toseed it in districts like Karimnagar, wherea job is worth more because there is lesselse to fall back on.One thousand jobs in Choppadandi, withclean water downstream and a label ofits own, would be a better monumentthan a thousand in a city that already haseverything.Sources: Telangana government to set up CFC inGachibowli, tanneries in Karimnagar to bolster leatherindustry · Researchers in R&D (per million people) · HumanCapital Index · Manufacturing, value added (% of GDP) ·Global Innovation Index 2025ECOLOGYThe straw is wasteonly becausenobody has priced itA review of paddy-straw management inAmritsar and Tarn Taran is a chance tostop treating the farmer as the source of thesmoke and start treating straw as a crop.The Commission for Air Quality Manage-ment has reviewed paddy straw manage-ment measures in Amritsar and TarnTaran([PIB](https://pib.gov.in/PressReleaseIframePage.aspx?PRID=2328061)).A review settles nothing by itself, but it isthe right instrument in the right place, be-cause it moves the argument from blameto bookkeeping — and bookkeeping iswhere this problem actually lives.Smoke is a symptomEvery autumn the country holds a loudpublic argument about smoke and almostnone of it is about straw. That is the tell. Aharvest leaves behind a material for whichthe field has no buyer, no mandi, no priceand no onward journey. Fire, by contrast,is free, immediate and complete. WhenTimes of Better Bharat · timesofbetterbharat.comNo. 2 · SUNDAY 25 OCTOBER 2026PAGE 4 OF 5
TIMES OF BETTER BHARAT, SUNDAY, 25 OCTOBER 2026 — page 5 of 5TIMES OF BETTER BHARATSUNDAY 25 OCTOBER 2026PAGE 5the cheapest disposal for one man is themost expensive outcome for everyone else,you do not have a morality problem. Youhave a price problem, and no amount ofscolding will fix a price.This paper's judgement — a judgement,offered as such — is that the farmer inAmritsar or Tarn Taran is neither the vil-lain of the northern winter nor its helplessvictim. He is a rational actor inside a badlydrawn system, and the system is ours toredraw.What the numbers do and do not sayNo single practice explains a national aircrisis. India's population-weighted PM2.5stood at 48.9 µg/m³ in 2025, sixth of 143countries tracked and close to ten timesthe WHO guideline of 5([IQAir](https://www.iqair.com/world-air-quality-report));Delhi remained the world's most pollutedcapital at 82.2 µg/m³. Stubble is one threadin that rope, not the whole rope. Honestyabout this is what earns a hearing for therest.And the ecological base is thin on everyside. India withdraws 66.5% of its avail-able freshwater ([FAO/WorldBank](https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/ER.H2O.FWST.ZS));cereal yield stands at 3,632.5 kg per hec-tare ([WorldBank](https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/AG.YLD.CREL.KG));forest cover is 24.4% of land area([FAO](https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/AG.LND.FRST.ZS))against tree-cover loss of 1,25,678 hectaresa year ([Global ForestWatch](https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/tree-cover-loss)).Soil, water and trees are one system. A fireset to clear a field spends all three at once.Fire as servant, not masterIndian thought has long treated fire asa servant and never a master. The sameflame that is a yajna in the field becomesa pyre when it is turned against what thefield has produced. Balance, in this tradi-tion, is not a mood or a slogan; it is an ac-counting discipline — take no more thancan be returned.That discipline begins inward. The breathis the one commons no fence can enclose,and the person in the city who suffers thesmoke and the person in the village wholights it are breathing the same air,though the rules are set elsewhere. Thefarmer in Shorapur who blocked a high-way this week over rotational watersupply was making the same complaint ina different key: the resource is local, thedecisions are not ([TheHindu](https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/karnataka/farmers-block-national-highway-demanding-withdrawal-of-warabandhi-system/article71620276.ece)).What paying for straw would look likeThree things follow, and they are practic-al. First, buy the straw: a residue market— baling, fodder, compost, biomass — is aprocurement decision, not an exhortation.Second, time the harvest window hon-estly, so that machines and labour actu-ally arrive when the residue is still usable.Third, let panchayats, cooperatives andfarmer groups carry the scheme, becausea rule that lives only in a commission's filedoes not survive contact with a field.None of this is guaranteed to work. Itis, however, the difference between man-aging a resource and merely condemninga fire. Next year the question will returnwith the smoke. The answer worth havingis not how to stop farmers burning straw,but whether we are willing to pay for acrop we already grow.Sources: CAQM reviews paddy straw managementmeasures in Amritsar and Tarn Taran · World Air QualityReport 2025 · Water stress: freshwater withdrawal as % ofavailable resources · Cereal yield (kg per hectare) · Forestcover (% of land area) · Tree cover loss · Farmers blocknational highway demanding withdrawal of WarabandhisystemABOUT THIS PAPERTimes of Better Bharat is written eachmorning from the day's official releases andthe data behind every ranking on its site.Every figure names its source.timesofbetterbharat.com ›Times of Better Bharat · timesofbetterbharat.comNo. 2 · SUNDAY 25 OCTOBER 2026PAGE 5 OF 5

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SUNDAY, 25 OCTOBER 2026No. 2

TIMES OF BETTER BHARAT

The daily editionEST. 2026

By the numbers, as they read that morning

GDP growth
7.6%
2025
GNI per capita, Atlas method
$2,760
2025
General government gross debt
83.4%
2026
Consumer price inflation
2.4%
2025
Unemployment rate
4.2%
2025

Frozen at publication. Later revisions by the publishing agency are not applied to a past edition — the archive shows what was printed.

The Konkan coast rewrites its own story

A genetic study of Konkani communities has revised an assumed migration story — the right response is neither credulity nor defensiveness, but method.

This paper reports today that a genetic study of Konkani communities has rewritten the migration story (https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/telangana/genetic-study-of-konkani-communities-rewrites-migration-story/article71617057.ece). The substance of the finding belongs to the researchers and their reviewers: the sample, the models, the confidence intervals are theirs to publish and defend. What belongs to the rest of us is the question the headline raises — how a mature civilisation should handle being told that a piece of its remembered past was, on the evidence, rather different.

A ledger of arrivals, and why it was always suspect

For a century and more, Indian prehistory was narrated in the colonial manner as a ledger of arrivals — this group came, displaced that one, and the present was read off the sequence. That was never a neutral chronology; it was a story about who belonged and who did not, dressed as scholarship. The case for re-reading it on Indian evidence, by Indian and international researchers together, does not require that every old conclusion be wrong. It requires only that each be tested. A headline that says a migration story has been rewritten is, in that light, not a disturbance. It is the method working.

Genes describe mixture, not rank

The discipline matters here. Genetic studies of populations measure admixture, the sharing of lineages, the drift of small groups over long stretches of time. They almost never deliver a single origin, and any community that has lived and traded along a coast for centuries will show exactly the layered ancestry that such a life produces. That is not a scandal; it is the ordinary condition of our species. The reader is invited to test this: ask of any such paper what would have counted as a falsifying result, and whether the authors say so plainly. If they do, the work deserves our attention rather than our alarm.

What such work must never be asked to do is certify belonging. The worst use of population genetics is to arrange Indians in a queue — first-comer, late arrival — as though ancestry conferred a stronger claim on the Constitution than citizenship does. That is a judgement, and I state it as one: every Indian is a mixture, and a civilisation that has absorbed waves of people for millennia should find that a description of its strength, not an awkward fact to be managed.

The capacity to answer our own questions

The deeper story is about who does the science. India now publishes 2,28,174 scientific articles a year (https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/IP.JRN.ARTC.SC) with 259.3 researchers per million people (https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SP.POP.SCIE.RD.P6), on research spending of 0.6% of GDP (https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/GB.XPD.RSDV.GD.ZS) — and yet ranks 38th of 139 on the Global Innovation Index, over-performing on outputs for its income level (https://www.wipo.int/global_innovation_index/). The lesson of a study like this one is not that we should wait to be told our own history. It is that archaeogenetics, epigraphy, linguistics and archaeology, read together on Indian material, are a national capability worth funding properly and publishing openly.

Continuity is not a sentiment to be asserted; it is a case to be built, and it is strongest when it survives being tested. That is why it is worth defending with method rather than with volume.

Sources: Genetic study of Konkani communities rewrites migration story · Scientific and technical journal articles · Researchers in R&D per million people · Research and development expenditure (% of GDP) · Global Innovation Index 2025

A ceasefire the state cannot audit is not a ceasefire

Seventeen arrests and an identity mismatch in Manipur expose the real weakness in India's suspension-of-operations architecture: the state has granted restraint without retaining the means to verify.

A signature is not a register

The facts as reported are spare. Seventeen militants held under the Suspension of Operations arrangement were arrested in Manipur; a mismatch was found in their identities; the operation took place at Mt Sinai Camp in Saimol village, a day after three persons from the Meitei community were killed in an attack ([HT](https://www.hindustantimes.com/india-news/17-kuki-militants-under-soo-deal-arrested-in-manipur-mismatch-found-in-identities-101792848936744.html)). Each clause deserves weight. The middle one should worry the security establishment most.

What a suspension of operations actually is

An SoO is not a courtesy extended to a people. It is an instrument of statecraft: the state suspends active operations against a named group in exchange for a frozen capability and a seat in a political process. That bargain rests on two questions the state must be able to answer on demand — who is a signatory, and who is not. When the answer to the first turns out to be wrong, the second loses meaning. A camp where occupants carry identities that do not match the record is, functionally, an unverified armed space.

The verification gap is the vulnerability

Read the sequence coldly. Civilians are killed. The next day an operation finds seventeen people whose particulars do not reconcile. That is not a story about courage in the field; it is a story about accounting at the desk. An arrangement that cannot produce a verified roll of names, photographs and biometrics for every person it shelters is not a confidence-building measure — it is an insurance policy written for the armed and paid for by the unarmed.

The case for such arrangements is not trivial, and it should be argued honestly. A frozen operation can lower the temperature in a district, open political space and pull young men away from the gun; scrapping ceasefires wholesale can push them back. That is a real trade-off, and this column does not pretend otherwise. But an unverified ceasefire transfers risk downward — to the farmer in the neighbouring village and to the jawan who must choose, in a fraction of a second, between restraint and self-preservation.

Deterrence is a single ledger

India spends 2.3% of GDP on defence ([SIPRI via World Bank, 2025](https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/MS.MIL.XPND.GD.ZS)). That buys little if a hill camp can shelter people the state cannot name. The 2026 Global Peace Index places India 127th of 163, down twelve places on the year ([IEP](https://www.visionofhumanity.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/Global-Peace-Index-2026-Report.pdf)); the 2026 Global Terrorism Index puts it 13th of 163, a rank worse than 2025 at a score of 6.43 ([IEP](https://www.economicsandpeace.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/Global-Terrorism-Index-2026-Report.pdf)). Political stability and absence of violence sits at −0.61 on the World Bank's scale ([WGI, 2025](https://www.worldbank.org/en/publication/worldwide-governance-indicators)). Credibility abroad and control at home are one ledger, not two.

What the state should insist on

The prescription here is contested, and offered as a considered view. First, a single biometrically enumerated cadre register for every signed group, with aggregate numbers published. Second, no-notice joint inspection of designated camps, with named responsibility for whoever shelters an unlisted armed person. Third, a time-bound review with a presumption of sunset rather than automatic renewal. Fourth, criminal liability that attaches to individuals and to the act — never to a community.

That last point is the one that must hold. The failures described here are institutional: a register that was not kept, an inspection that was not made, an accountability that was not enforced. A people is never the enemy. A badly audited ceasefire is.

Sources: 17 Kuki militants under SoO deal arrested in Manipur; mismatch found in identities · Global Terrorism Index 2026 · Global Peace Index 2026 · Military expenditure (% of GDP), 2025 · Worldwide Governance Indicators, 2025

The body in the police station is where the Constitution is tested

A custodial-torture complaint from Kottayam is not a local policing matter; it is a test of whether Article 21 means anything to a poor Dalit citizen facing the state alone.

The report is short and grim. The family of a Dalit youth in Kottayam district has accused the Erattupetta police of assaulting him during questioning in connection with a suspected cable theft (https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/kerala/kin-of-dalit-youth-in-keralams-kottayam-accuses-police-of-custodial-torture/article71619945.ece). These are allegations; the officers concerned are entitled to deny them, and no honest commentator should pronounce on their guilt from a newspaper paragraph.

But a custodial assault allegation is not an ordinary complaint. It is a claim that the state used a citizen's body as an instrument of investigation. A claim of that kind must be tested in the open, by an authority independent of the station whose members are accused.

Custody is where the burden shifts

Article 21 promises that no person shall be deprived of life or personal liberty except according to procedure established by law. Article 22(2) requires production before a magistrate. The point of both is simple and old: once a man is inside a lock-up, he cannot summon witnesses, cannot walk to a hospital, cannot prove what happened to him. The state, which alone controls the room, must therefore be able to account for every mark on his body — through prompt medical examination, and through a magistrate who asks the question rather than certifying the answer.

India's prisons show how heavily this weighs. Some 72.6% of the prison population is made up of pre-trial detainees (https://www.prisonstudies.org/country/india). The presumption of innocence is honoured more eloquently in the Constitution than in the corridors where it is supposed to operate.

Why the complainant's caste is not incidental

Article 17 abolished untouchability; it did not abolish hierarchy, which now finds quieter rooms to work in. I do not assert that the Erattupetta police acted out of caste animus — I do not know that, and neither does the reader. What I assert is this: the promise of equal citizenship is tested precisely where a poor Dalit family confronts the state alone, and the test is whether its complaint travels further than the thana counter. If the inquiry is slow, or is conducted by colleagues of the accused, every such household learns that the law's protection thins out at the door.

The number behind the anecdote

The World Justice Project's Rule of Law Index places India 86th of 143 countries with a score of 0.49, down seven places in a year (https://worldjusticeproject.org/rule-of-law-index/downloads/WJPIndex2025.pdf). Such indices are approximations, and governments dispute their method. But they measure one thing accurately enough: whether an ordinary person believes a complaint against power will go anywhere. In the same week, human rights groups announced a probe into the shooting of three persons in the Cauvery Wildlife Sanctuary in Karnataka (https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/karnataka/human-rights-groups-to-probe-shooting-of-three-persons-in-cauvery-wildlife-sanctuary/article71620245.ece) — a reminder that questions about the use of state force are not confined to one State or one party.

What the response must be

An independent magisterial inquiry, not a departmental one. Injuries documented on the record without delay. Compensation if the allegation stands, and departmental accountability for those responsible. A State government occupied with other controversies (https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/kerala/pinarayi-vijayan-steps-up-attack-against-keralam-govt-over-sma-drug-controversy/article71620527.ece) should not treat this as an administrative footnote; nor should an opposition convert a young man's bruises into a slogan and lose interest when the news cycle turns. The same demand for restraint and due process must be made of every government, in every State, by everyone.

A republic is not measured by the reach of its sovereign's power but by the law's reach over that power. The first promise of our Constitution is that a citizen's body is not the property of the state. If that promise is not enforced in a small station in Kottayam, it is not enforced anywhere.

Sources: Kin of Dalit youth in Keralam's Kottayam accuses police of custodial torture · Pre-trial detainees as share of total prison population (World Prison Brief, 2024) · WJP Rule of Law Index 2025 · Human rights groups to probe shooting of three persons in Cauvery Wildlife Sanctuary · Pinarayi Vijayan steps up attack against Keralam govt. over SMA drug controversy

A mob is not a magistrate

If a woman in Bengal was stripped and 'purified' over her faith, the question is not theology but whether the police register the case — and apply the same law they would be expected to apply to anyone else's complaint.

What is actually alleged

According to NDTV, a Christian woman in West Bengal has alleged that she was stripped and "purified", and that pressure was placed on her and others to abandon their faith. Her complaint states that three families were threatened they would be "burnt alive", and that "They created pressure on us to give up our faith in Lord Jesus Christ." The report attributes the allegation to her complaint; the organisation she names is named in it, not adjudged guilty by this column. That distinction is the whole of due process, and it cuts both ways: an allegation is not a verdict, and it is not nothing either. It is a matter for an investigation.

Coercion is not creed

The Constitution protects freedom of conscience for every citizen — the right to profess, practise and propagate, and the equal right to decline. Those who preach must expect to be argued with; those who are preached to must be free to walk away. What is described here is neither preaching nor argument. To strip a woman, whatever ritual vocabulary is attached to the act, is an assault on her body and her dignity. To threaten a family with being burnt alive is criminal intimidation. It is my judgement — offered as a judgement — that no offended sentiment, and no claim of defending a faith, converts either into a religious act. A faith defended by a threat of arson is not being defended; it is being discredited by the people who claim to speak for it.

The test is even-handedness

The demand that follows is procedural, and it should be put without insinuation. Has a First Information Report been registered? Under which provisions? How many persons have been named, and has anyone been taken into custody? A state that can move briskly when a loud grievance is raised must move at the same speed for a complainant with no crowd behind her. Article 14 does not promise that everyone will feel equally offended; it promises that the law will react equally when offence becomes force.

The World Justice Project's Rule of Law Index places India 86th of 143, with a score of 0.49 on a 0–1 scale (https://worldjusticeproject.org/rule-of-law-index/downloads/WJPIndex2025.pdf). Rankings are crude instruments, but the thing they measure is exactly this: whether a complaint from an obscure village produces a case file as reliably as a complaint from a connected one.

Speech for all, or for none

Those who insist on the right to criticise other faiths must concede the same right to those who preach a different one — and must concede, above all, that persuasion is answered by persuasion, never by a mob. Every Indian's home should be as safe from the enforcer as it is from the arsonist. That is not a demand on behalf of one community; it is a demand on behalf of every citizen, of any faith or of none.

A crowd with a pair of scissors is not a court. The law lives in the police station, and it must be made to work there.

Sources: Stripped And 'Purified': Bengal Christian Woman Alleges Conversion Threat By Bajrang Dal · WJP Rule of Law Index 2025

The hide is the least valuable part of the leather

Telangana's plan to pair a design centre in Gachibowli with eco-friendly tanneries in Karimnagar has the right shape; whether it produces a leather industry or a press release will be decided by effluent, apprenticeship and who owns the brand.

The Telangana government will set up a Common Facility Centre in Gachibowli to support design, product development and branding, and eco-friendly tanneries in Choppadandi mandal of Karimnagar that are expected to generate 1,000 jobs, the Industries Minister said after a review with TGLIPC officials ([The Hindu](https://www.thehindu.com/news/cities/Hyderabad/telangana-government-to-set-up-cfc-in-gachibowli-tanneries-in-karimnagar-to-bolster-leather-industry/article71620193.ece)). On the evidence of the announcement alone, this is the most sensible piece of industrial policy I have read this week — and the most easy to quietly ruin.

Where the value actually sits

A hide is a commodity. The margin is in the cut, the finish, the hardware, the lining, the label. A district that sells hides and buys back bags has donated its labour and kept none of its margin. That is a judgement, not a statistic, but it is the judgement on which every leather economy that climbed — in Italy, in Spain, in East Asia — climbed. The instinct to put a design and branding centre in the same proposal as the tanneries is therefore correct, and rarer than it should be. Most state incentive packages fund the shed and the photograph and leave the design to somebody else.

The hub-and-spoke logic, in the right direction

A design studio, a testing laboratory, a finishing plant and a common effluent treatment works are exactly the assets a small unit in Choppadandi cannot finance alone. Put them in the spoke and they lie idle; put them in the hub at Gachibowli, where the buyers, the technologists and the export offices already are, and the spoke can rent them by the hour. That is decentralised growth done properly — not the dispersal of everything, but the dispersal of production while shared capability stays pooled.

Three tests, and they are all unglamorous

The first is effluent. "Eco-friendly" is an adjective in the report; the test is a common treatment plant, a named operator and published water readings downstream. Tanning is a dirty trade, and a district that gets a clean tannery park has gained something far more durable than a factory.

The second is what kind of job the promised 1,000 are. India spends 0.6% of GDP on research and development and has 259.3 researchers per million people, on the last available figures ([World Bank](https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/GB.XPD.RSDV.GD.SZ), [World Bank](https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SP.POP.SCIE.RD.P6)); its Human Capital Index stands at 0.49 ([World Bank](https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/HD.HCI.OVRL)). Leather does not need doctorates. It needs technicians, cutters, finishers and quality inspectors trained by stipended apprenticeship alongside formal courses — a workshop with a wage, not a certificate with a photograph.

The third is ownership of the brand. If the design centre's output is a label belonging to a buyer abroad, the value still leaves. The CFC should be judged on how many units in the district sell finished goods under their own mark within five years.

What the rest of the country should copy

Manufacturing is 13.5% of GDP ([World Bank](https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NV.IND.MANF.ZS)) and India ranks 38th of 139 on the Global Innovation Index while ranking 32nd on innovation outputs ([WIPO](https://www.wipo.int/global_innovation_index/)) — we convert modest inputs into results with unusual frugality. The lesson is not to concentrate that frugality in five metros already short of water and housing, but to seed it in districts like Karimnagar, where a job is worth more because there is less else to fall back on.

One thousand jobs in Choppadandi, with clean water downstream and a label of its own, would be a better monument than a thousand in a city that already has everything.

Sources: Telangana government to set up CFC in Gachibowli, tanneries in Karimnagar to bolster leather industry · Researchers in R&D (per million people) · Human Capital Index · Manufacturing, value added (% of GDP) · Global Innovation Index 2025

The straw is waste only because nobody has priced it

A review of paddy-straw management in Amritsar and Tarn Taran is a chance to stop treating the farmer as the source of the smoke and start treating straw as a crop.

The Commission for Air Quality Management has reviewed paddy straw management measures in Amritsar and Tarn Taran ([PIB](https://pib.gov.in/PressReleaseIframePage.aspx?PRID=2328061)). A review settles nothing by itself, but it is the right instrument in the right place, because it moves the argument from blame to bookkeeping — and bookkeeping is where this problem actually lives.

Smoke is a symptom

Every autumn the country holds a loud public argument about smoke and almost none of it is about straw. That is the tell. A harvest leaves behind a material for which the field has no buyer, no mandi, no price and no onward journey. Fire, by contrast, is free, immediate and complete. When the cheapest disposal for one man is the most expensive outcome for everyone else, you do not have a morality problem. You have a price problem, and no amount of scolding will fix a price.

This paper's judgement — a judgement, offered as such — is that the farmer in Amritsar or Tarn Taran is neither the villain of the northern winter nor its helpless victim. He is a rational actor inside a badly drawn system, and the system is ours to redraw.

What the numbers do and do not say

No single practice explains a national air crisis. India's population-weighted PM2.5 stood at 48.9 µg/m³ in 2025, sixth of 143 countries tracked and close to ten times the WHO guideline of 5 ([IQAir](https://www.iqair.com/world-air-quality-report)); Delhi remained the world's most polluted capital at 82.2 µg/m³. Stubble is one thread in that rope, not the whole rope. Honesty about this is what earns a hearing for the rest.

And the ecological base is thin on every side. India withdraws 66.5% of its available freshwater ([FAO/World Bank](https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/ER.H2O.FWST.ZS)); cereal yield stands at 3,632.5 kg per hectare ([World Bank](https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/AG.YLD.CREL.KG)); forest cover is 24.4% of land area ([FAO](https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/AG.LND.FRST.ZS)) against tree-cover loss of 1,25,678 hectares a year ([Global Forest Watch](https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/tree-cover-loss)). Soil, water and trees are one system. A fire set to clear a field spends all three at once.

Fire as servant, not master

Indian thought has long treated fire as a servant and never a master. The same flame that is a yajna in the field becomes a pyre when it is turned against what the field has produced. Balance, in this tradition, is not a mood or a slogan; it is an accounting discipline — take no more than can be returned.

That discipline begins inward. The breath is the one commons no fence can enclose, and the person in the city who suffers the smoke and the person in the village who lights it are breathing the same air, though the rules are set elsewhere. The farmer in Shorapur who blocked a highway this week over rotational water supply was making the same complaint in a different key: the resource is local, the decisions are not ([The Hindu](https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/karnataka/farmers-block-national-highway-demanding-withdrawal-of-warabandhi-system/article71620276.ece)).

What paying for straw would look like

Three things follow, and they are practical. First, buy the straw: a residue market — baling, fodder, compost, biomass — is a procurement decision, not an exhortation. Second, time the harvest window honestly, so that machines and labour actually arrive when the residue is still usable. Third, let panchayats, cooperatives and farmer groups carry the scheme, because a rule that lives only in a commission's file does not survive contact with a field.

None of this is guaranteed to work. It is, however, the difference between managing a resource and merely condemning a fire. Next year the question will return with the smoke. The answer worth having is not how to stop farmers burning straw, but whether we are willing to pay for a crop we already grow.

Sources: CAQM reviews paddy straw management measures in Amritsar and Tarn Taran · World Air Quality Report 2025 · Water stress: freshwater withdrawal as % of available resources · Cereal yield (kg per hectare) · Forest cover (% of land area) · Tree cover loss · Farmers block national highway demanding withdrawal of Warabandhi system